I am a political scientist and Senior Researcher at AthenaLab, a Chilean think tank focused on international relations, defence, and security. I received my PhD from the Department of Government at the London School of Economics (LSE) and completed my undergraduate studies at the Universidad Católica de Chile.

Previously, I worked as a policy adviser at Chile’s Ministry of the Interior and Public Security and the Ministry of National Defence. I have served as an Adjunct Professor at the Universidad Católica de Chile, Harvard University’s David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies, and Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez.

My research and teaching interests lie in political violence, conflict processes, political crises, and comparative politics. I have published two books and my academic work has been published in journals such as Government and Opposition, Sustainability, SAIS Review of International Affairs, and Revista de Ciencia Política.

My research has been supported by the Chilean National Agency for Research and Development and the Sir Patrick Gillam Scholarship Fund.

In 2017, I was named one of Chile’s 100 Young Leaders by El Mercurio in recognition of my work fostering long-term collaboration between public and private institutions.

Research

My research examines the causes and dynamics of political violence, with a regional focus on Latin America. I am particularly interested in urban disorder, rioting, organized crime and how states respond to severe political crises.

My book project is based on my PhD thesis. The Violent Disconnection: The Logic of Protest Violence in Contemporary Latin America, draws on fieldwork in Argentina, Chile, and Colombia to develop a comparative theory of intensity of protest violence.

Book project

The Violent Disconnection: The Logic of Protest Violence in Contemporary Latin America +
  • Develops a novel theoretical framework to explain variation in the intensity of protest violence in low-middle quality democracies
  • Argues that the deterioration of state-citizen relations — through weak intermediary organisations and faded memories of state violence — drives the escalation of protests into transgressive violence
  • Offers a comparative analysis of Argentina, Chile and Colombia, drawing on 63 in-depth interviews and extensive fieldwork across three countries
  • Challenges deterministic accounts of political violence by proposing a nuanced, interactional framework grounded in process-tracing methodology

Why do some anti-government protests turn more violent than others? In contemporary Latin America, mass mobilisations have become a defining feature of political life, yet only a few have escalated into highly destructive, prolonged, and nationwide street violence. The Violent Disconnection addresses this puzzle through a comparative study of protest in Argentina, Chile and Colombia between 2017 and 2020.

The book argues that the intensity of protest violence is shaped by the degree of deterioration in state-citizen relations, operating through two key mechanisms: the strength of intermediary organisations — political parties, unions, and social movements — and the endurance of collective memories of state violence. Each mechanism operates differently once the state responds antagonistically to protest. Where intermediaries remain strong, they channel grievances and prevent radical factions from gaining traction. Where memories of past repression are vivid, both authorities and protesters recognise the costs of escalation. The interplay of these two factors produces three distinct patterns: restrained, disruptive, and transgressive violence.

Drawing on historical research, cross-national surveys, protest art, video footage, political cartoons, and 63 in-depth interviews conducted during fieldwork in three countries, the book advances the literature on contentious politics by building a novel theory of protest violence, challenging prevailing deterministic socioeconomic frameworks, and offering fresh comparative empirical data from the Global South.

Part I. Puzzle, theoretical explanations and research design
1. Introduction
2. Explaining Variation in Protest Violence from a Comparative Perspective
3. Research Design and Methods
Part II. Case studies
4. The Upheaval that Didn't Happen: The 2017 Anti-Pension Reform in Argentina
5. Violent Protests in the Post-peace Agreement: The 2019 National Strike in Colombia
6. From Civil Resistance to Violent Uprising: The Chilean Protests of October 2019
Part III. Theoretical balance and next steps
7. Conclusions

Research areas

Political violence Protest, riots and urban disorder Security and defence Comparative politics Political crises Populist governance

Publications

How Populists Governed the COVID-19 Pandemic: Populist Governance and Social Policies in Brazil, Hungary, Mexico, Poland, Russia and Turkey
Panizza, F., Szikra, D., Öktem, K., & Sazo, D.
Government and Opposition, 60(4): 1–23, 2025
DOI →
Chile 2022: From Great Expectations to Rising Pessimism
Sazo, D.
Revista de Ciencia Política, 43(2): 193–222, 2023
DOI →
Delayed and Approved: A Quantitative Study of Conflicts and the Environmental Impact Assessments of Energy Projects in Chile, 2012–2017
Huneeus, S., Luna, J., Toro, S., & Sazo, D.
Sustainability, 13(6989): 1–13, 2021
DOI →
Scapegoats of the 2019 Chilean Riots: From Foreign Intervention to Riff-Raff Involvement
Dammert, L., & Sazo, D.
SAIS Review of International Affairs, 40(2): 121–135, 2020
DOI →
Movilización y resistencia verde: Los conflictos socioambientales en Chile, 2000–2013
Hernández, C., & Sazo, D.
Revista de Gestión Pública, 4(2): 217–251, 2015
DOI →
Provocando el desequilibrio de poder: Crítica a la política exterior de George W. Bush desde la realpolitik
Sazo, D.
Revista Enfoques: Ciencia Política y Administración Pública, 7(10): 293–311, 2009
DOI →
Democracia y poder constituyente
Democracia y poder constituyente
Sazo, D. & Bustamante, G. (eds.)
Fondo de Cultura Económica, 2016 · 406 pp.
Discutir sobre la Constitución es plantear la pregunta sobre el país que queremos. En nuestra época, esta inquietud se canaliza a través de ciudadanos descontentos y movilizados en las calles, con un desafío común: cuestionar las estructuras de dominación y legitimación, exigiendo una revisión a los modos en que se ejerce el poder. ¿Dónde reside la soberanía en la democracia de nuestros días? ¿Estamos frente a un incipiente proceso constituyente global y local? El objetivo de esta obra es exponer los debates contemporáneos y proporcionar herramientas conceptuales y analíticas que permitan comprender las razones que explican el cambio a la luz de los acontecimientos de Chile y el mundo.
La Revolución de Maquiavelo
La Revolución de Maquiavelo. El Príncipe 500 años después
Sazo, D. (ed.)
RIL Editores, 2013 · 328 pp.
La lucha por la interpretación de Maquiavelo sigue vigente. Como afirmó alguna vez Isaiah Berlin, existen al menos veinte lecturas disímiles sobre su pensamiento, número que continúa creciendo al conmemorarse 500 años de su obra más reconocida. Hay quienes lo consideran un científico de la política, otros un promotor del republicanismo, algunos un defensor del pueblo o, por el contrario, simplemente un despreciable consejero de tiranos. La mayor fuente de polémicas la concita El Príncipe, opúsculo que compuso en la amargura de su exilio (1513) y que desató una crítica visceral que se extiende hasta la actualidad. ¿Cuál es la importancia de El Príncipe? ¿Qué explica que sea uno de los libros más leídos en la historia de la teoría política? En sus líneas Maquiavelo navegó contra la corriente: liberó a la política de la metafísica tradicional y prefiguró los contornos de lo que hoy llamamos Estado, soberano y secular. Con ello abrió las puertas de la modernidad política. Su método también fue revolucionario, pues emprendió un original retorno a los clásicos, resignificando los conceptos de libertad, república, virtud y fortuna.
The Causes and Consequences of the ‘Estallido Social’ in Chile Forthcoming
Dammert, L., & Sazo, D.
In The Oxford Handbook of Urban Violence, ed. K. Mitton, A. Varsori & Z. Waseem. Oxford University Press.
This chapter examines the causes and consequences of the 2019 estallido social in Chile, the most intense and disruptive wave of urban protest in the nation’s recent democratic history. Triggered by a modest public transport fare hike, the protests quickly escalated into a nationwide movement marked by unprecedented levels of urban violence, widespread material damage, and sustained collective mobilization. Drawing on empirical evidence, the chapter traces how structural inequality, relative deprivation, and a longstanding crisis of political representation set the stage for the uprising, while the erosion of socio-political intermediaries and the emergence of critical, digitally connected citizenship shaped its dynamics and scope. The chapter examines the extraordinary scale, geographical spread, and duration of violence, situating these events within broader debates on contentious politics and democratic crisis. It further analyzes the far-reaching political, social, and economic consequences of the protests, including constitutional reform, shifts in public trust, and the redefinition of civic participation. By integrating process-tracing and comparative insights, the chapter argues that the estallido social fundamentally challenged Chile’s model of stability, offering lessons for understanding the interplay between urban protest, state response, and democratic transformation in the Global South.
Populist Governance and Populism’s Host Ideology in the Fight Against COVID-19: The Cases of Brazil and Mexico Under review
Panizza, F., & Sazo, D.
Journal of Political Ideologies
The question of how to assess the impact of populism on policy decisions, how to distinguish it from that of its so-called host ideology, and how different ideological leanings and contextual factors impact on policy decisions is far from linear. To determine how this relationship unfolds, we undertake a comparative study of presidents Jair Bolsonaro of Brazil and Andrés Manuel López Obrador of Mexico’s health policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. We address the following questions: 1) What was ‘populist’ in the (populist) governments’ management of the pandemic? 2) How can we distinguish the populist form from its ideological substance? and 3) What explains policy differences in the management of the pandemic? We contend that the ‘populist’ aspect of the governments’ response to the crisis involved the governance process, while the host ideology shaped the way ‘the people’ were discursively constructed and, consequently, impacted the policies being implemented.
Framing the Latin American Riots: A Comparative Analysis of Ideological Convergence in Governmental Responses Under review
Sazo, D. & Quezada, G.
Peace and Conflict: Journal of Peace Psychology
Existing research on violent protests in Global North democracies shows that right-wing governments often attribute such unrest to non-structural or group-based causes. By blaming foreign actors or marginalized groups—such as immigrants or youth—leaders can deflect institutional accountability and legitimize repressive responses. Yet, we know far less about how similar dynamics operate in Global South democracies, or how government ideology shapes these narratives. This study addresses that gap through a comparative thematic analysis of 1,500 official tweets issued during major protests in Bolivia (left-wing government), Colombia (right-wing government), and Ecuador (centrist government) between October and December 2019. Despite ideological differences, we find a striking convergence in how governments framed the unrest across four dimensions: (1) problem definition, (2) causal attribution, (3) moral evaluation, and (4) treatment recommendation. Authorities commonly cast the protests as a struggle between democratic order and chaos, attributed blame to foreign regimes aligned with domestic opposition, delegitimized violence as criminal dissent, and endorsed strong repressive measures. Our findings advance the literature by demonstrating that ideological orientation does not necessarily determine protest framing. Instead, governments across the spectrum may deploy similar discursive strategies to justify coercion and shape public perception, deepening political polarization and confrontation.
Democracy in Hard Places. By Scott Mainwaring and Tarek Masoud. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2022. 311 pp.
Sazo, D.
The Journal of Development Studies, 61(8): 1357–1359, 2025
DOI →

Media

I regularly provide commentary on security, conflict, and global affairs in Chilean and international media, including television, radio, and print outlets.

CNN Chile - Conexión Global
CNN Chile · Conexión Global
Mega Plus
Mega Plus · Mundo Plus
Radio Duna
Radio Duna 89.7 · Terapia Chilensis
La Segunda
La Segunda · July 2024

Television (selection)

CNN Chile. Nuevo Ministerio de Seguridad Pública en Chile · 04/12/2024
CHV Noticias. Masivas y violentas protestas en Reino Unido · 13/08/2024
CNN Chile. Triunfo laborista en las elecciones de Reino Unido · 11/07/2024
DW. Chile ya no es un oasis ante el crimen organizado · 14/05/2024
CNN Chile. Elecciones presidenciales en Turquía · 18/05/2023
CNN Chile. Los desafíos y tensiones que marcarán el mundo en 2022 · 30/12/2021
CNN Chile. Boris Johnson y la gestión de la pandemia en Reino Unido · 17/12/2020

Radio (selection)

Sonar FM. Creación del nuevo Ministerio de Seguridad Pública · 05/12/2024
Radio Futuro. Crisis de seguridad en Chile · 16/04/2024
Cooperativa. La “resaca de la violencia” y otros efectos de estallidos sociales en Latinoamérica · 10/05/2023
T13 Radio. Auge de la violencia y los desafíos de los Acuerdos de Paz en Colombia · 07/05/2023

Newspaper

La Segunda. Entrevista: Crisis de seguridad en Chile · 31/07/2024
La Segunda. Entrevista: Estallidos sociales en Chile y el mundo · 30/03/2021
La Tercera. Entrevista: Maquiavelo 500 años después · 21/12/2013

Public Engagement

Beyond my professional work, academic research, and teaching, I engage in various forms of public outreach. I regularly write short pieces for newspapers, magazines, and online outlets, and occasionally interview leading scholars on their areas of expertise.

Essays

Cómo nacen y mueren los enclaves criminales · Tercera Dosis, March 2024
Explicando el auge criminal en Chile · La Segunda, November 2023
A New Pink Tide: The Return of the Left in Brazil and Chile (w/ F. Panizza) · Renewal. A Journal of Social Democracy, July 2023
La teoría del complot en el Estallido chileno: un examen crítico (w/ L. Dammert) · Ciper Chile, March 2021
Weber, un siglo después · Revista Santiago, June 2019

Opinion (selection)

A History of Violent Unrest · La Segunda, August 2024
The Caracas Lesson · La Segunda, April 2024
The Left and Public Order · La Segunda, July 2023
Reversible Destinies · La Segunda, December 2022
A Failed Legacy · La Segunda, March 2022
Deniers of Discontent · La Segunda, December 2021
The Hangover of Violence · La Segunda, November 2021
The Fallacy of Violent Protest · La Segunda, February 2020
The Paradox of Repression · La Segunda, December 2019

Interviews

Óscar Godoy · El liberalismo político y sus pendientes · Revista Átomo, 2022
John Chalcraft · La Primavera Árabe una década después · Revista Santiago, 2021
Miguel Vatter · Maquiavelo, republicanismo radical y poder constituyente · Revista Pléyade, 2013
Luis Oro · Max Weber y la periferia · Revista Pléyade, 2010